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Friday 25 September 2020

The Great Reveal

The first couple of books published on Jeremy Corbyn's tenure as Labour leader have focused on revelations, variously bitchy and exasperated, about the strategic and ethical failings of key individuals. This was inevitable. Books on recent political history, whether autobiographies or eyewitness accounts, need juicy tidbits to garner media coverage just as much as tell-alls about the royals do, or thinly-disguised novels about minor French philosophers. The academic histories that will be written in time may take a more structural approach, but given the habitual bias of British political history towards "character", I wouldn't bet on it. Though Gabriel Pogrund and Patrick Maguire's Left Out: The Inside Story of Labour Under Corbyn is clearly unsympathetic to the left (the title rather gives it away), while Owen Jones's This Land: The Story of a Movement appears like a classic attempt to salvage the positive from a political episode of hope curtailed, they share a common belief that politics is inseparable from personality.

The press coverage of these two works has tended to delight in the more scathing analysis of Pogrund and Maguire, while Jones has once more been told in no uncertain terms by his journalistic peers that he is unwelcome. My interest here is not in either book (they're unlikely to prove of lasting value), nor in the predictable response of the commentariat. What I'm going to discuss is how revelations about character are treated in political discourse and specifically how this applied to Corbyn. Though journalism presents itself as the first, rough draft of history, it's form and assumptions tend to reflect polished historiographical practice when it comes to political commentary. Pundits aspire to the aphoristic, Olympian judgement of a Michelet or an AJP Taylor (a historian who moonlighted as a journalist) rather than the urgent impressionism of the reporter. There is also a tendency to see politics as drama, reflecting the focus on leading characters, though in the simplistic sense that everything is either a tragedy or a comedy of errors.

Jeremy Corbyn is, it is probably safe to say, fairly set in his ways. Though he may have smartened up his attire on becoming leader of the Labour party in 2015, he didn't transform overnight into a different, steelier character. He was always idealistic, conflict-averse and frankly a bit wet. Despite the attempts to paint him as a tumour in the body politic, he is clearly an inoffensive chap whose main character flaw appears to be peevishness. Few would have expected him to reveal a hitherto-hidden talent for management on his election to the leadership; fewer still a strategic cunning sufficient to the moment of Brexit, a political challenge that brought down two Conservative Prime Ministers in three years and may yet bring down a third within five. And yet the initial dismissal of Corbyn didn't develop into a coherent critique of his shortcomings. While forensic analysis, executive competence and a backstory in managing a large, complex organisation are now considered de rigueur in the leader of the opposition, there was little attempt to criticise Corbyn for the absence of these qualities and qualifications during his early months in office. 

The opposition to him, both within the PLP and among the media, was political. It's interesting to recall that much of the criticism was not about his own beliefs but the company he kept. The accusations of personal antisemitism or Russophilia came later. The essential charge was that he was too leftwing and therefore couldn't unite the party. Of course "party" in this context didn't mean the membership, who returned him with an increased vote after the 2016 leadership challenge, and the unity demanded was simply a euphemism for the continuing dominance of the PLP right. The revival of the antisemitism row after the unexpected 2017 election result, and the emergence of the People's Vote campaign with its emphasis on Corbyn's personal culpability for Brexit, marked the shift from attempts to rule him unacceptable because of his politics to attempts to rule him illegitimate because of his character. But charges of dithering or obliviousness were secondary to the assumption that he was a secret antisemite and Lexiteer. In other words, he was more criminal genius than managerial incompetent.

One thing that has stood out in the recent revelations about Corbyn's time as party leader is how little new material there is, and how little of it rises above office backbiting. For example, that Seumas Milne and Tom Watson were both in their different ways lazy, or that Karie Murphy could be abrasive. Even the claim that Corbyn and McDonnell weren't on speaking terms for a while seems positively innocent, like schoolkids falling out, particularly when you remember the poisonous relations between Tony Blair and Gordon Brown. The nearest thing to a political revelation in the Pogrund and Maguire book is that Ian Murray bottled joining Change UK at the eleventh hour, which is both unsurprising and ridiculously inconsequential. At the level of salacious gossip, there is nothing to compare with past or recent claims about David Cameron, from the apocryphal pig's head initiation ceremony to the temptation of al fresco adultery. For all that attempts to finally nail Corbyn as an antisemite have come to naught, his critics won't give up trying. Or even seeking to extend the blame to John McDonnell, if only to cement the association of Jew-hatred with the left in the public mind. 

The benchmark for a politician with a disreputable history is, of course, Boris Johnson. A man sacked for lying, not once but twice; who infamously colluded with a friend who wanted to beat up a journalist; and whose extramarital affairs and children have proved difficult to enumerate. But the proper charge against Johnson is not that he is louche or amoral but that he is a lazy chancer who can't cut it in the job. Even conservative commentators and backbenchers are pointing out that his poor performance as Prime Minister was entirely predictable, given his self-indulgent track record as London Mayor and his underwhelming (if brief) stint as Foreign Secretary. They now excuse their prior support with some wibble about him being "a winner", rather than admitting that they were nailed-on to secure a majority in the 2019 general election once Labour fatally committed to a second referendum and the Liberal Democrats and SNP ruled out a Corbyn-led coalition. The Tories could have elected Jacob Rees-Mogg as party leader last year and would probably still have won. 

According to Philip Collins, "The sorry spectacle of Boris Johnson in 10 Downing Street is a repeat of the lesson that Gordon Brown and Theresa May ought to have taught us. Nobody ever changes. Office does not transform character: it reveals it". Is everyone a mystery until they get to Number 10? Brown and May were elected party leader by MPs who had already seen their characters revealed in high office, as a resentful Chancellor and an obtuse Home Secretary respectively. Collins's pompous judgement also ignores context: that both Brown and May were constrained by extraordinary events and their own parties. The clamour for austerity in 2010 and the popular disaffection with New Labour that had been building for a decade undid Brown, while the impossibility of Brexit on terms that would unite the Tories short of outright deception (the chickens now coming home to roost) put paid to May. If these events revealed aspects of character, it was Brown's loyalty to New Labour and May's inability to lie convincingly, neither of which really amount to moral deficiencies.

Corbyn was elected leader by the Labour membership not because they thought he would be managerially competent but because they wanted to change the attitude and policies of the party. Everything that has happened since has sprung from that choice by the membership: the delegitimisation of Corbyn, the marginalisation of the PLP left, and the recapture of the party apparatus by the right. Though the members have now opted for Starmer's competence, they did so (however naively) on the basis that he would stick to the same policy platform. Given his willingness to junk the remain cause, I see little reason to believe that he will hesitate to junk his famous 10 pledges, nor that he and David Evans, the new General Secretary, will be cautious in restraining or expelling the left, whether on the back of the EHRC report on antisemitism or any other grounds. This instrumentalism and mutability will be lauded by the press as evidence of statesmanship rather than opportunism or insincerity.

Had Corbyn been tougher, he could plausibly have achieved more in terms of party democracy and policy, from forcing mandatory reselection to resisting a second referendum, but it would almost certainly have come at a greater cost. The Change UK defections would have been larger in number and the rump PLP would still have been divided between remainers and leavers. History may well show that Corbyn's aversion to conflict actually prevented a split even more damaging than that of the SDP in 1981. A more cynical leader might have spotted the threat of the antisemitism charge earlier and headed it off, but nothing short of a conversion to Zionism would have stilled his critics. A more assertive and intellectually confident leader might have built on the 2017 campaign to normalise the policy initiatives that seemed to come as such a shock to so many in 2019, though the timing and focus of the election would likely still have led to a setback, even had the party stuck to its guns on a soft Brexit. Corbyn's limitations probably made little difference to the course of events, and the "chaos" of the leader's office was a symptom of the wider problems inside and outside the party rather than his personal signature.

10 comments:

  1. «the emergence of the People's Vote campaign with its emphasis on Corbyn's personal culpability for Brexit»

    This is the current official position of the New New Labour party and shadow cabinet:

    Labour wants to get Brexit done. We want the government to succeed in securing a deal in the national interest and to protect the Good Friday Agreement. Like the rest of the country, we want to move on from Brexit and see the UK making future trade deals across the world.

    This shameful U-turn seems to me definite proof that most of the "People's Vote" campaign strongly supported by K Starmer etc. was just aimed at attacking J Corbyn.

    That specific wording is by arch-blairite Lord Falconer. It is pretty much anything that could have been said by David Davis or Nigel Farage. No mention of EFTA/EEA or similar "Norway" of soft exit.

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  2. «A more cynical leader might have spotted the threat of the antisemitism charge earlier and headed it off, but nothing short of a conversion to Zionism would have stilled his critics.»

    But J Corbyn was and had always been a sterling Zionist, very supportive of Israel, the right of jews/israelis of having their own state, and their right to live in it in peace without being threatened by their neighbours:

    http://www.thejc.com/news/uk-news/153303/jeremy-corbyn-must-do-more-address-concerns-says-board-deputies-after-meeting
    «Mr Corbyn and two advisers held talks with Board of Deputies president Jonathan Arkush and chief executive Gillian Merron this afternoon. Following the meeting Mr Arkush said: "We had a positive and constructive meeting and were pleased that Mr Corbyn gave a very solid commitment to the right of Israel to live within secure and recognised boundaries as part of a two state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict. “Mr Corbyn affirmed his support for shechitah, brit milah and Jewish faith schools. He also resolved in strong terms to fight antisemitism from wherever it comes”. [...]
    “The Jewish community is a vibrant and much valued part of our diverse UK society, and I will continue to defend the right to religious freedom and practice, including specifically shechitah and the brit milah, Jewish faith schools, and culturally sensitive youth and social care services. I have a long interest in campaigning for peace and justice in the Middle East, and reiterated my commitment to a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict. Israelis and Palestinians both have the right to a state, and to live in peace and security.


    In that statement the offending part, the "outrageous" "antisemitism", is “part of a two state solution“ and “Israelis and Palestinians both have the right to a state, and to live in peace and security” and that is totally unacceptable to the likudniks, because the charter of Likud explicitly commits the party to a single jewish state solution:

    https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201415/cmhansrd/cm141201/halltext/141201h0001.htm
    «Andy McDonald (Middlesbrough) (Lab): My hon. Friend talks about Hamas’s charter, which refuses to recognise Israel, but the charter of Likud, the ruling party in the coalition, states: “The Government of Israel flatly rejects the establishment of a Palestinian Arab state west of the Jordan river.” Is that not a fetter to progress on this issue?
    Jeremy Corbyn: Absolutely. The Likud charter, which is not talked about too much by those who support the Government of Israel, says that in those very specific terms, and there has to be some recognition that the Prime Minister of Israel is a member of Likud and is in power because of Likud support.»

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  3. BTW, S Kinnock has just made a statement that from a likudnik point of view must be "viciously antisemitic":

    https://labourlist.org/2020/09/act-now-on-the-illegal-israeli-settlements-kinnock-urges-uk-government/>

    we condemn violence in all its forms. Whether it is Hamas launching rockets, or the IDF bombarding Gaza or bulldozing Bedouin villages to make way for illegal settlements, we oppose any and all actions that lead to the death and destruction that have so tragically come to define this conflict. [...] But Israel’s consistent flouting of UN resolutions and the Fourth Geneva Convention has undermined the rules-based order for decades, and the international community can no longer look the other way.

    I wonder whether he will be persecuted like J Corbyn...

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  4. By the time of the 2015 GE, the Labour Party was nominally in favour of remaining in the EU but was not defending European Freedom of Movement. The two main candidates in the leadership election in 2015 were Yvette Cooper (who was continually making statements about concerns about immigration being legitimate) and Andy Burnham (who had repeated the myth that European Freedom of Movement reduced the wages of the lower paid). Jeremy Corbyn was the only candidate clearly in favour of FoM, and possibly this helped him to win the leadership election. In 2015 and 2016 there were a number of articles in the Guardian by Jonathan Freedland expressing irritation that Corbyn was in favour of FoM and implying that the rest of the PLP (and party bureaucracy) wanted to campaign for Remain but ending FoM.

    In my view, campaigning for "Remain but ending FoM" would have been dishonest and an absurdity. It repeats the falsehood spread by Brexiteers that the UK could have got concessions out of the EU while still having the benefits of being in a Single Market. In short, Labour's position on the EU was a mess by 2015/2016. Instead of pushing back on the falsehoods being spread by Tories and the press in the previous 10 years, Labour had got into a xenophobia bidding war and had undermined support for key aspects of the EU (while still theoretically being in favour of Remain). Europe was a wedge issue and some individuals in the PLP enthusiastically drove the wedge in further.

    Thus we have the absurdity of Caroline Flint saying that Corbyn betrayed "the people" by being in favour of FoM, while other Labour Party members are annoyed because he didn't manage to get the PLP to agree to a Norway-style policy after the referendum. This is where a political party ends up when it repeats talking points to show that it is listening to people's concerns when those concerns are based on myths.


    Guano

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    1. Great point, but how did Labour end up sucked into the anti-immigration rat hole in the first place (most likely between 2005 and 2010)?

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  5. "How did Labour end up sucked into the anti-immigration rat hole in the first place (most likely between 2005 and 2010)?"

    I agree that the first steps on this journey started some time ago and eventually Labour found itself in a place where it was unable to defend European FoM (a central pillar of the trade and cooperation relationship with the rest of Europe). As far as I can see, no clear decision was taken to end support for European FoM: there wasn't a Conference decision or a policy review or any other formal look at the issue. Labour started off muttering talking points about "bogus asylum seekers" and just got sucked deeper into the anti-migrant rhetoric. The PLP and the party apparatchiks look at the output from focus groups, and then pump out talking points that resonate with certain groups and are supposed to show that the Party is listening to certain concerns. Apparently the long-term implications of this are not considered, nor is there much consideration of whether the "concerns" are based on myths. Beyond that is a fear of taking on a the right-wing press.

    European FoM derives from the Single Market, of which Thatcher was a key architect. It became a hot issue when the EU was expanded to include eastern and southern European countries, which was strongly supported by the Conservative Party. Yet, according to Brexiteers, European FoM was forced on the UK by the EU or by an "unaccountable liberal elite". I am constantly amazed at how little push-back there is against this myth of FoM being imposed on the UK, or how Blair and Brown do nothing to push-back against the myth that they "opened up the flood-gates".

    Guano


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    1. Actually, there was pretty much a "flood" of Eastern Europeans into the UK post-2005, and the reason for this is that the UK was one of only three "old" EU countries (Ireland and Sweden being the others) that did not impose transitional restrictions on workers from the new member states.

      I wonder why Blair's government did not impose such restrictions? Perhaps it is because they were hoping to tighten controls on immigrants from outside the EU (especially Muslims, who were increasingly unpopular due to 9/11 and the War on Terror) and felt that they needed to replace them with Eastern European immigrants?

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  6. In one of his talks after his resignation, Ivan Rogers said that it had always been Treasury policy (under Major as well as Blair) that the UK would not impose transitional restrictions because it was assumed that an influx of working migrants from Eastern Europe would give the UK an economic advantage over countries that did impose transitional restrictions.

    Guano

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    1. «one of only three "old" EU countries (Ireland and Sweden being the others) that did not impose transitional restrictions»

      Because «Tony Blair was urged by Bank of England governor Mervyn King “to open the labour market without transition on the grounds that it would help lower wage growth and inflation”»

      «an influx of working migrants from Eastern Europe would give the UK an economic advantage over countries that did impose transitional restrictions.»

      Please have a look if you can find a relevant quote, because that's one of my usual arguments, but I don't have a supporting quote, just inferences.

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    2. «an influx of working migrants from Eastern Europe would give the UK an economic advantage over countries that did impose transitional restrictions.»

      I found a relevant quote, from a speech on 2017-11-24 at Oxford University:

      https://www.politico.eu/article/ivan-rogers-david-cameron-speech-transcript-brexit-referendum/

      King on free movement and exploiting first mover advantage — as no other major EU Member State opened its labor market without the transitional periods — to tap a near inexhaustible supply of labor to address U.K. needs. The economic benefits of the unprecedentedly large scale free movement which took place between 2004 and 2007 to both employers, to the economy as a whole and to the public finances, were seen as axiomatic.
      [...] But this was an immigration and free movement policy driven by the desire to fuel U.K. growth, and by the belief that we were stealing a march on EU competitors and further consolidating the advantages of the U.K. model over that of a sclerotic Germany, which we were all characterising still in 2004 as the decade-long sick man of Europe. [...] At the macro level, migration looked like an unadulterated blessing for the U.K. economy, and for the U.K. employer class in 2004-07. It no doubt was.
      But, several years after the crisis, with middle class and working class living standards at best stagnating, the political issue which I think crystallized in the Brexit vote was not the macro effect: no doubt, inward migration was still a net plus for U.K. GDP and for the public finances.
      The distributional impacts and the actual and perceived pressures on access to public services and housing at a time of austerity became the political issue which electrified both the Conservative Party, UKIP to the right of it, but also Labour heartlands, many of which were to vote heavily for Brexit.
      »

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